Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francisco Rivera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Urijah Faber threatens submissions; Francisco Rivera has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Urijah Faber
oldest →L
vs Dominick Cruz · Jun 16L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 16W
vs Brad Pickett · Dec 16W
KOvs Ricky Simon · Jul 19 Francisco RiveraL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · May 14W
KOvs Alex Caceres · Jun 15L
SUBvs John Lineker · Sep 15L
vs Brad Pickett · Feb 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Urijah FaberMetricFrancisco Rivera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Urijah FaberFrancisco Rivera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Urijah Faber(10 fights)Francisco Rivera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +134.4|Blue -134.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Urijah FaberTargetFrancisco Rivera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Francisco Rivera edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Urijah Faber edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:14
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
