Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Peter Sobotta (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Peter SobottaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Sep 16W
KOvs Ben Saunders · May 17L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Mar 18L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 20 Pawel Pawlak
oldest →W
vs Sheldon Westcott · Apr 15L
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Peter SobottaMetricPawel Pawlak
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Peter SobottaPawel Pawlak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Peter Sobotta(9 fights)Pawel Pawlak(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -103.6|Blue +103.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Peter SobottaTargetPawel Pawlak
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Peter Sobotta edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Peter Sobotta edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control4:32
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Peter Sobotta edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns2
Control3:26
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
