Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Junior Dos Santos is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Frank Mir has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Frank Mir is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Junior Dos Santos has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior Dos SantosL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20 Frank MirL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Alistair Overeem · Feb 14W
KOvs Antonio Silva · Feb 15W
KOvs Todd Duffee · Jul 15L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior Dos SantosMetricFrank Mir
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.16Δ 2.82 — meaningful gap-1.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Junior Dos SantosFrank Mir
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)Frank Mir(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +36.1|Blue -36.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Junior Dos SantosTargetFrank Mir
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Junior Dos Santos rounds
Round 1Junior Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:02
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Junior Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:15
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
