Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Spitz is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Walt Harris has lost 56% of fights by KO.
- Walt Harris has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).
- Daniel Spitz has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Walt HarrisL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21 Daniel Spitz
oldest →L
vs Mark Godbeer · Mar 17W
KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Sep 17L
vs Tanner Boser · Oct 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Walt HarrisMetricDaniel Spitz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.28Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap-2.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Walt HarrisDaniel Spitz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Walt Harris(10 fights)Daniel Spitz(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +24.6|Blue -24.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Walt HarrisTargetDaniel Spitz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Walt Harris edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Walt Harris edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:10
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
