Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Scott Holtzman has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Scott HoltzmanL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19L
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21 Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →L
vs David Teymur · Jun 18W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Scott HoltzmanMetricNik Lentz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.66evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Scott HoltzmanNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Scott Holtzman(10 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +48.3|Blue -48.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Scott HoltzmanTargetNik Lentz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nik Lentz edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:03
32Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:44Control
Round 2Nik Lentz edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:15
23Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:45Control
Round 3Scott Holtzman edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
