Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- TJ Grant enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- TJ Grant has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Carlo Prater has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carlo Prater (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
TJ GrantW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Ricardo Almeida · Dec 10W
SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 11W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jan 13W
KOvs Gray Maynard · May 13 Carlo Prater
oldest →L
vs Marcus LeVesseur · Oct 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
TJ GrantMetricCarlo Prater
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.74Δ 2.78 — meaningful gap-2.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
TJ GrantCarlo Prater
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
TJ Grant(8 fights)Carlo Prater(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.5|Blue -138.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.1|Blue -2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +105.0|Blue -105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
TJ GrantTargetCarlo Prater
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1TJ Grant edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control1:18
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 2TJ Grant edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control2:26
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
Round 3TJ Grant edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns2
Control3:12
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
