Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eddie Wineland is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Frankie Saenz has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Eddie Wineland has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Eddie Wineland has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie SaenzL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Augusto Mendes · Jan 17W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 19L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20 Eddie WinelandL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18W
KOvs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20L
KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie SaenzMetricEddie Wineland
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Frankie SaenzEddie Wineland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Saenz(10 fights)Eddie Wineland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -40.4|Blue +40.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -140.0|Blue +140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Frankie SaenzTargetEddie Wineland
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Frankie Saenz edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control1:21
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Frankie Saenz edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Eddie Wineland edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
