Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Naoki Inoue has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carls John De Tomas (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Naoki Inoue
oldest →L
vs Matt Schnell · Jun 18 Carls John De Tomas
oldest →L
SUBvs Alex Perez · Dec 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Naoki InoueMetricCarls John De Tomas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.30Δ 2.49 — meaningful gap-2.19
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Naoki Inoue(2 fights)Carls John De Tomas(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +128.2|Blue -128.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Naoki InoueTargetCarls John De Tomas
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Carls John De Tomas rounds
Round 1Naoki Inoue edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control3:14
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 2Naoki Inoue edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control1:58
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Naoki Inoue edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control3:26
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:33Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
