Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andre Lima has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Andre Lima has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Felipe dos Santos
oldest →W
vs Victor Altamirano · Feb 24L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Mar 25 Andre Lima
oldest →W
vs Igor Severino · Mar 24W
vs Mitch Raposo · Jun 24W
SUBvs Daniel Barez · Mar 25L
DECvs Kevin Borjas · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Felipe dos SantosMetricAndre Lima
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.05Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap+1.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Felipe dos SantosAndre Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Felipe dos Santos(4 fights)Andre Lima(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -33.3|Blue +33.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Felipe dos SantosTargetAndre Lima
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Felipe dos Santos rounds
Round 1Felipe dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:41
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:47Control
Round 2Andre Lima edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:06Control
Round 3Andre Lima edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
