Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luis Henrique enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Luis Henrique threatens submissions; Dmitrii Smoliakov has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Dmitrii Smoliakov has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dmitrii Smoliakov (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luis HenriqueL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Dec 15W
SUBvs Christian Colombo · Nov 16L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 17L
vs Arjan Bhullar · Sep 17 Dmitrii SmoliakovL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cyril Asker · Jan 17L
KOvs Greg Hardy · Apr 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luis HenriqueMetricDmitrii Smoliakov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.41Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap-2.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Luis HenriqueDmitrii Smoliakov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luis Henrique(6 fights)Dmitrii Smoliakov(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -4.7|Blue +4.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Luis HenriqueTargetDmitrii Smoliakov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Dmitrii Smoliakov rounds
Round 1Luis Henrique edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control2:48
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Luis Henrique edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control3:12
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
