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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Sean Strickland won · Submission R1
Elo1353
Bubba McDaniel
Elo1530
Sean Strickland

Bubba McDanielvsSean StricklandUFC Prediction Result

UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · Saturday, March 15, 2014Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Sean Strickland won

Submission · Round 1 · 4:33

Model Prediction: Bubba McDaniel wins(71.6%)

Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bubba McDaniel at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Bubba McDaniel (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Bubba McDaniel
Red Corner
VS
Sean Strickland
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
1353
Elo
1530
30
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bubba McDaniel
oldest →
W
SUBvs Gilbert Smith · Apr 13
L
DECvs Brad Tavares · Aug 13
latest
Sean StricklandW2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24
W
vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24
L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25
W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26
W
DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bubba McDanielMetricSean Strickland
—
Strikes / min
5.98
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.53
—
Strike defense
60%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.66
—
Takedown defense
68%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1502 vs 1500Strikes24.5 vs —Takedowns0.5 vs —Sub Atts1.50 vs —Form-0.2 vs 0.0
Bubba McDanielSean Strickland

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901505152015351550← oldermost recent →
Bubba McDaniel(3 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -177.3|Blue +177.3
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -48.7|Blue +48.7
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Bubba McDaniel

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25