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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Bubba McDaniel won · Submission R3

Elo1353

Elo1490

Bubba McDanielvsGilbert SmithUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · Saturday, April 13, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bubba McDaniel won

Submission · Round 3 · 2:49

Model Prediction: Bubba McDaniel wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Bubba McDaniel wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bubba McDaniel at -210 American odds

+$48 profit

$148 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Bubba McDaniel

Red Corner

Gilbert Smith

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1353

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bubba McDanielL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Brad Tavares · Aug 13

SUBvs Sean Strickland · Mar 14

latest

Gilbert SmithNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bubba McDanielMetricGilbert Smith

—

Strikes / min

1.09

—

Strikes absorbed / min

2.73

—

Strike defense

35%

—

TDs / 15 min

3.51

—

Takedown defense

—

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bubba McDaniel(3 fights)Gilbert Smith(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -137.2|Blue +137.2

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Bubba McDaniel

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights1

Gilbert Smith

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach—

Fights1