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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jean Silva won · SUB R2

Elo1528

Elo1557

Bryce MitchellvsJean SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Saturday, April 12, 2025Miami, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Jean Silva won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:52

Style matchupBryce Mitchell: WrestlervsJean Silva: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jean Silva wins(65.4%)

Actual result: Jean Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jean Silva at -205 American odds

+$49 profit

$149 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bryce Mitchell enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jean Silva has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Bryce Mitchell (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Bryce Mitchell

Red Corner

Jean Silva

Blue Corner

+172

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-205

(67%)

1528

Elo

1557

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'7"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bryce MitchellW3 streak

oldest →

vs Dan Ige · Sep 23

KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 23

KOvs Kron Gracie · Dec 24

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 25

SUBvs Santiago Luna · Jun 26

latest

Jean Silva

oldest →

KOvs Charles Jourdain · Jun 24

KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 24

KOvs Melsik Baghdasaryan · Feb 25

KOvs Diego Lopes · Sep 25

vs Arnold Allen · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bryce MitchellMetricJean Silva

2.27

Strikes / min

4.82

1.60

Strikes absorbed / min

4.50

58%

Strike defense

53%

3.24

TDs / 15 min

1.20

33%

Takedown defense

78%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.67evenly matched on net striking+0.32

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bryce MitchellJean Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bryce Mitchell(10 fights)Jean Silva(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -28.9|Blue +28.9

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bryce MitchellTargetJean Silva

By target zone

28% acc · 19%

Head

25% acc · 41%

44% acc · 22%

Body

87% acc · 48%

100% acc · 58%

Leg

75% acc · 11%

By position

57% acc · 97%

Distance

41% acc · 85%

33% acc · 3%

Clinch

60% acc · 11%

Ground

50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bryce Mitchell rounds

even

Jean Silva rounds

Round 1Bryce Mitchell edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control0:53

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 2Jean Silva edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:50

Knockdowns0

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 64

Sig Strikes

27 / 63

55%

Sig Str %

41.5%

37 / 66

Total Strikes

29 / 65

1 / 14

TDs

0 / 0

16.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:43

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jean Silva	9 / 29	10 / 30	0 / 0	2
1	Bryce Mitchell	22 / 34	23 / 35	1 / 3	0
2	Jean Silva	18 / 34	19 / 35	0 / 0	1
2	Bryce Mitchell	14 / 30	14 / 31	0 / 11	0

Bryce Mitchell

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Jean Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights7