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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Bryce Mitchell won · U-DEC R3

Elo1528

Elo1485

Bryce MitchellvsDan IgeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Saturday, September 23, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bryce Mitchell won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBryce Mitchell: WrestlervsDan Ige: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Bryce Mitchell wins(74.3%)

Actual result: Bryce Mitchell wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bryce Mitchell at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dan Ige has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Bryce Mitchell (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Bryce Mitchell

Red Corner

Dan Ige

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1528

Elo

1485

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'7"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bryce MitchellW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 23

KOvs Kron Gracie · Dec 24

SUBvs Jean Silva · Apr 25

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 25

SUBvs Santiago Luna · Jun 26

latest

Dan IgeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bryce MitchellMetricDan Ige

2.27

Strikes / min

3.60

1.60

Strikes absorbed / min

3.56

58%

Strike defense

56%

3.24

TDs / 15 min

0.93

33%

Takedown defense

56%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.67evenly matched on net striking+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bryce MitchellDan Ige

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bryce Mitchell(10 fights)Dan Ige(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +42.8|Blue -42.8

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +182.0|Blue -182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bryce MitchellTargetDan Ige

By target zone

59% acc · 57%

Head

28% acc · 72%

50% acc · 30%

Body

50% acc · 17%

75% acc · 13%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

59% acc · 74%

Distance

31% acc · 89%

33% acc · 4%

Clinch

67% acc · 11%

63% acc · 22%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bryce Mitchell rounds

even

Dan Ige rounds

Round 1Bryce Mitchell edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control1:56

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Bryce Mitchell edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control2:30

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 3Bryce Mitchell edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns2

Control3:07

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:37Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 40

Sig Strikes

18 / 55

56.7%

Sig Str %

23.3%

37 / 59

Total Strikes

32 / 72

5 / 15

TDs

0 / 0

34.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:33

Ctrl Time

2:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dan Ige	10 / 25	14 / 30	0 / 0	0
1	Bryce Mitchell	14 / 22	20 / 30	2 / 6	0
2	Dan Ige	8 / 26	14 / 33	0 / 0	0
2	Bryce Mitchell	5 / 12	13 / 23	1 / 5	1
3	Dan Ige	0 / 4	4 / 9	0 / 0	0
3	Bryce Mitchell	4 / 6	4 / 6	2 / 4	0

Bryce Mitchell

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21