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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Bryce Mitchell won · U-DEC

Elo1528

Elo1479

Bryce MitchellvsAndre FiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · Saturday, October 31, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bryce Mitchell won

U-DEC

Style matchupBryce Mitchell: WrestlervsAndre Fili: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Bryce Mitchell wins(65.3%)

Actual result: Bryce Mitchell wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bryce Mitchell at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Fili has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Bryce Mitchell (53.5%).
Andre Fili has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Bryce Mitchell

Red Corner

Andre Fili

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1528

Elo

1479

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bryce MitchellW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 23

KOvs Kron Gracie · Dec 24

SUBvs Jean Silva · Apr 25

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 25

SUBvs Santiago Luna · Jun 26

latest

Andre FiliL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25

vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25

vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26

KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bryce MitchellMetricAndre Fili

2.27

Strikes / min

3.88

1.60

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

58%

Strike defense

50%

3.24

TDs / 15 min

2.32

33%

Takedown defense

71%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.67Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bryce MitchellAndre Fili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bryce Mitchell(10 fights)Andre Fili(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +48.8|Blue -48.8

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bryce MitchellTargetAndre Fili

By target zone

57% acc · 61%

Head

31% acc · 70%

93% acc · 30%

Body

71% acc · 19%

80% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

69% acc · 63%

Distance

34% acc · 85%

Clinch

63% acc · 37%

Ground

80% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bryce Mitchell rounds

even

Andre Fili rounds

Round 1Bryce Mitchell edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns3

Control4:00

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 2Bryce Mitchell edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control2:07

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 3Bryce Mitchell edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns3

Control4:05

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 69

Sig Strikes

27 / 72

67%

Sig Str %

35.3%

100 / 135

Total Strikes

51 / 97

7 / 13

TDs

0 / 0

63.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

10:12

Ctrl Time

0:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andre Fili	3 / 9	8 / 14	0 / 0	0
1	Bryce Mitchell	15 / 21	28 / 35	3 / 4	0
2	Andre Fili	19 / 49	20 / 50	0 / 0	0
2	Bryce Mitchell	18 / 29	26 / 38	1 / 6	1
3	Andre Fili	5 / 14	23 / 33	0 / 0	0
3	Bryce Mitchell	13 / 19	46 / 62	3 / 3	0

Bryce Mitchell

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights26