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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Cody Stamann won · S-DEC R3

Elo1369

Elo1488

Bryan CarawayvsCody StamannUFC Prediction Result

UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · Saturday, March 3, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cody Stamann won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBryan Caraway: WrestlervsCody Stamann: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Cody Stamann wins(63.9%)

Actual result: Cody Stamann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cody Stamann at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Stamann enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Bryan Caraway threatens submissions; Cody Stamann has lost 43% of fights by sub.
Bryan Caraway has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Bryan Caraway

Red Corner

Cody Stamann

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1369

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bryan Caraway

oldest →

SUBvs Erik Perez · Jun 14

vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 14

vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 15

vs Aljamain Sterling · May 16

KOvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 18

latest

Cody StamannL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jun 22

vs Luan Lacerda · Jan 23

vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · May 23

vs Taylor Lapilus · Jun 24

SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bryan CarawayMetricCody Stamann

2.53

Strikes / min

4.32

3.61

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

54%

Strike defense

60%

2.57

TDs / 15 min

2.17

80%

Takedown defense

76%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.08Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bryan CarawayCody Stamann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bryan Caraway(10 fights)Cody Stamann(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -119.1|Blue +119.1

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +496.0|Blue -496.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bryan CarawayTargetCody Stamann

By target zone

32% acc · 85%

Head

51% acc · 71%

57% acc · 7%

Body

81% acc · 22%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

88% acc · 7%

By position

34% acc · 85%

Distance

51% acc · 68%

40% acc · 14%

Clinch

79% acc · 32%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bryan Caraway rounds

even

Cody Stamann rounds

Round 1Bryan Caraway edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control3:02

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Cody Stamann edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:45

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Cody Stamann edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control1:12

48Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

59 / 168

Sig Strikes

95 / 166

35.3%

Sig Str %

54.3%

116 / 236

Total Strikes

115 / 186

1 / 23

TDs

0 / 1

4.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:59

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Cody Stamann	15 / 34	26 / 45	0 / 0
1	Bryan Caraway	11 / 28	45 / 69	1 / 7
2	Cody Stamann	32 / 58	34 / 60	0 / 0
2	Bryan Caraway	23 / 66	32 / 75	0 / 10
3	Cody Stamann	48 / 74	55 / 81	0 / 1
3	Bryan Caraway	25 / 74	39 / 92	0 / 6

Bryan Caraway

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights10

Cody Stamann

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights14