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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Bryan Battle won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1523
Elo1459

Bryan BattlevsTakashi SatoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · Saturday, August 6, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bryan Battle won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:44

Model Prediction: Bryan Battle wins(78.9%)

Actual result: Bryan Battle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bryan Battle at -325 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bryan Battle enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Takashi Sato enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Takashi Sato (53.5%).
  • Bryan Battle has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Bryan Battle
Red Corner
VS
Takashi Sato
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
1523
Elo
1459
31
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'10"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bryan BattleW4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Dec 22
W
KOvs Gabe Green · May 23
W
SUBvs AJ Fletcher · Sep 23
W
KOvs Kevin Jousset · Sep 24
W
vs Randy Brown · Dec 24
latest
Takashi SatoL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Belal Muhammad · Sep 19
W
KOvs Jason Witt · Jun 20
L
SUBvs Miguel Baeza · Nov 20
L
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 22
L
vs Themba Gorimbo · May 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bryan BattleMetricTakashi Sato
5.12
Strikes / min
2.21
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
3.73
44%
Strike defense
44%
0.77
TDs / 15 min
0.76
53%
Takedown defense
60%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.01Δ 2.53 — meaningful gap-1.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1536 vs 1486Strikes4.5 vs 2.2Takedowns1.1 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.60 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs -0.7
Bryan BattleTakashi Sato

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Bryan Battle(8 fights)Takashi Sato(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +63.6|Blue -63.6
Recent Form
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bryan BattleTargetTakashi Sato

By target zone

4
67% acc · 57%
Head
0
0% acc
2
67% acc · 29%
Body
2
100% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 14%
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

6
75% acc · 86%
Distance
2
25% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
1
50% acc · 14%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Bryan Battle rounds
0
even
0
Takashi Sato rounds
Round 1Bryan Battle edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
7 / 10
Sig Strikes
2 / 8
70%
Sig Str %
25%
7 / 10
Total Strikes
2 / 8
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Takashi Sato2 / 82 / 80 / 00
1Bryan Battle7 / 107 / 100 / 00

Bryan Battle

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8

Takashi Sato

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7