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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Bryan Battle won · SUB R2
Elo1523
Elo1482
Gilbert Urbina editorial illustration

Bryan BattlevsGilbert UrbinaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Saturday, August 28, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bryan Battle won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:15

Style matchupBryan Battle: Pressure fightervsGilbert Urbina: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Bryan Battle wins(53.6%)

Actual result: Bryan Battle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bryan Battle at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bryan Battle enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Bryan Battle has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Bryan Battle
Red Corner
VS
Gilbert Urbina
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
1523
Elo
1482
31
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bryan BattleW4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Dec 22
W
KOvs Gabe Green · May 23
W
SUBvs AJ Fletcher · Sep 23
W
KOvs Kevin Jousset · Sep 24
W
vs Randy Brown · Dec 24
latest
Gilbert UrbinaL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Orion Cosce · May 23
L
KOvs Charles Radtke · Feb 24
L
KOvs Uros Medic · Aug 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bryan BattleMetricGilbert Urbina
5.12
Strikes / min
5.57
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
4.62
44%
Strike defense
44%
0.77
TDs / 15 min
2.86
53%
Takedown defense
0%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.01evenly matched on net striking+0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes6.3 vs 6.2Takedowns2.1 vs 4.1Sub Atts2.10 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Bryan BattleGilbert Urbina

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Bryan Battle(8 fights)Gilbert Urbina(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +41.0|Blue -41.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bryan BattleTargetGilbert Urbina

By target zone

17
31% acc · 37%
Head
33
53% acc · 73%
23
85% acc · 50%
Body
9
82% acc · 20%
6
100% acc · 13%
Leg
3
100% acc · 7%

By position

30
44% acc · 65%
Distance
15
38% acc · 33%
15
83% acc · 33%
Clinch
18
78% acc · 40%
1
100% acc · 2%
Ground
12
86% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Bryan Battle rounds
0
even
1
Gilbert Urbina rounds
Round 1Gilbert Urbina edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:47
38Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:59Control
Round 2Bryan Battle edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control0:35
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
46 / 87
Sig Strikes
45 / 76
51%
Sig Str %
52.5%
54 / 96
Total Strikes
63 / 95
1 / 1
TDs
2 / 6
100%
TD %
25%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:22
Ctrl Time
2:40

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Gilbert Urbina38 / 5956 / 782 / 40
1Bryan Battle34 / 6240 / 690 / 00
2Gilbert Urbina7 / 177 / 170 / 20
2Bryan Battle12 / 2514 / 271 / 11

Bryan Battle

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8

Gilbert Urbina

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4