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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Bryan Battle won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1523
Elo1505

Bryan BattlevsGabe GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · Saturday, May 13, 2023Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Bryan Battle won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:14

Style matchupBryan Battle: Pressure fightervsGabe Green: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Bryan Battle wins(60.6%)

Actual result: Bryan Battle wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bryan Battle at +108 American odds

+$108 profit

$208 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bryan Battle enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Gabe Green (52.9%).
  • Bryan Battle has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Bryan Battle
Red Corner
VS
Gabe Green
Blue Corner
+108
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-136
(58%)
1523
Elo
1505
31
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
5'10"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bryan BattleW3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Takashi Sato · Aug 22
L
vs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Dec 22
W
SUBvs AJ Fletcher · Sep 23
W
KOvs Kevin Jousset · Sep 24
W
vs Randy Brown · Dec 24
latest
Gabe Green
oldest →
L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · May 20
W
vs Philip Rowe · Feb 21
W
KOvs Yohan Lainesse · Apr 22
L
vs Ian Garry · Jul 22
W
SUBvs Matheus Camilo · May 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bryan BattleMetricGabe Green
5.12
Strikes / min
5.60
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
6.19
44%
Strike defense
47%
0.77
TDs / 15 min
0.71
53%
Takedown defense
50%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.01Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1532 vs 1503Strikes4.5 vs 6.3Takedowns1.1 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.60 vs 0.30Form0.2 vs 0.0
Bryan BattleGabe Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Bryan Battle(8 fights)Gabe Green(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +17.4|Blue -17.4
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -168.0|Blue +168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bryan BattleTargetGabe Green

By target zone

3
33% acc · 100%
Head
2
25% acc · 33%
0
Body
2
100% acc · 33%
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 33%

By position

2
29% acc · 67%
Distance
6
50% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
1
50% acc · 33%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Bryan Battle rounds
0
even
0
Gabe Green rounds
Round 1Bryan Battle edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
3 / 9
Sig Strikes
6 / 12
33%
Sig Str %
50%
3 / 9
Total Strikes
6 / 12
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Gabe Green6 / 126 / 120 / 00
1Bryan Battle3 / 93 / 90 / 00

Bryan Battle

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights8

Gabe Green

StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6