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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Bryan Barberena won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1491

Elo1360

Bryan BarberenavsJoe ProctorUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · Saturday, April 22, 2017Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Bryan Barberena won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:30

Style matchupBryan Barberena: Pressure fightervsJoe Proctor: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Bryan Barberena wins(66.7%)

Actual result: Bryan Barberena wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bryan Barberena at -330 American odds

+$30 profit

$130 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bryan Barberena enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Joe Proctor has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Joe Proctor has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Bryan Barberena (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Bryan Barberena

Red Corner

Joe Proctor

Blue Corner

-330

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+270

(27%)

1491

Elo

1360

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bryan BarberenaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 22

SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec 22

SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 23

vs Makhmud Muradov · Jul 23

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 24

latest

Joe Proctor

oldest →

vs Cristiano Marcello · Feb 14

KOvs Justin Salas · Jul 14

SUBvs Yancy Medeiros · Dec 14

SUBvs Justin Edwards · Jun 15

KOvs Magomed Mustafaev · Dec 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bryan BarberenaMetricJoe Proctor

5.35

Strikes / min

3.39

4.59

Strikes absorbed / min

3.93

44%

Strike defense

59%

0.13

TDs / 15 min

0.00

50%

Takedown defense

70%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.76Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bryan BarberenaJoe Proctor

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bryan Barberena(10 fights)Joe Proctor(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +131.4|Blue -131.4

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +2.1|Blue -2.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -371.0|Blue +371.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bryan BarberenaTargetJoe Proctor

By target zone

61% acc · 79%

Head

25% acc · 50%

100% acc · 4%

Body

40% acc · 25%

63% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

55% acc · 57%

Distance

35% acc · 100%

67% acc · 21%

Clinch

86% acc · 21%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bryan Barberena rounds

even

Joe Proctor rounds

Round 1Bryan Barberena edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:07

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 45

Sig Strikes

8 / 23

62%

Sig Str %

34%

28 / 45

Total Strikes

8 / 23

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:07

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joe Proctor	8 / 23	8 / 23	0 / 0	0
1	Bryan Barberena	28 / 45	28 / 45	0 / 0	0

Bryan Barberena

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights19

Joe Proctor

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights8