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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Tagir Ulanbekov won · U-DEC
Elo1453
Bruno Silva
Elo1513
Tagir Ulanbekov

Bruno SilvavsTagir UlanbekovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Saturday, October 10, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Tagir Ulanbekov won

U-DEC

Style matchupBruno Silva: Well-roundedvsTagir Ulanbekov: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Bruno Silva wins(62.6%)

Actual result: Tagir Ulanbekov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bruno Silva at +321 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bruno Silva has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Bruno Silva
Red Corner
VS
Tagir Ulanbekov
Blue Corner
+321
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-455
(82%)
1453
Elo
1513
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'7"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bruno SilvaL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25
L
KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25
W
SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25
L
vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26
L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26
latest
Tagir Ulanbekov
oldest →
W
SUBvs Nate Maness · Nov 22
W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Dec 23
W
vs Clayton Carpenter · Jan 25
W
vs Azat Maksum · Jun 25
L
SUBvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Nov 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bruno SilvaMetricTagir Ulanbekov
3.86
Strikes / min
3.01
5.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
41%
Strike defense
50%
0.77
TDs / 15 min
2.73
74%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.49Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap-0.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1469 vs 1500Strikes2.3 vs 0.0Takedowns2.7 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Bruno SilvaTagir Ulanbekov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401465149015151540← oldermost recent →
Bruno Silva(10 fights)Tagir Ulanbekov(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -59.8|Blue +59.8
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bruno SilvaTargetTagir Ulanbekov

By target zone

20
25% acc · 43%
Head
38
35% acc · 83%
10
83% acc · 21%
Body
3
60% acc · 7%
17
81% acc · 36%
Leg
5
71% acc · 11%

By position

40
38% acc · 85%
Distance
45
38% acc · 98%
7
70% acc · 15%
Clinch
1
33% acc · 2%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Bruno Silva rounds
0
even
1
Tagir Ulanbekov rounds
Round 1Bruno Silva edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:18
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:48Control
Round 2Tagir Ulanbekov edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:47
12Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:26Control
Round 3Bruno Silva edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns2
Control1:16
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:33Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
47 / 114
Sig Strikes
46 / 122
42.3%
Sig Str %
39%
59 / 134
Total Strikes
69 / 152
4 / 8
TDs
5 / 11
50%
TD %
44.3%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:21
Ctrl Time
3:47

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Tagir Ulanbekov13 / 4819 / 551 / 30
1Bruno Silva20 / 4020 / 421 / 20
2Tagir Ulanbekov12 / 2525 / 423 / 40
2Bruno Silva8 / 1818 / 321 / 20
3Tagir Ulanbekov21 / 4925 / 551 / 40
3Bruno Silva19 / 5621 / 602 / 40

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights23

Tagir Ulanbekov

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8