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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Bruno Silva won · KO/TKO

Elo1453

Elo1466

Bruno SilvavsJP BuysUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · Saturday, March 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bruno Silva won

KO/TKO

Style matchupBruno Silva: Well-roundedvsJP Buys: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: JP Buys wins(61.0%)

Actual result: Bruno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

JP Buys at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

JP Buys enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Bruno Silva is a KO finisher (78% of wins). JP Buys has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Bruno Silva has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Bruno Silva has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Bruno Silva

Red Corner

JP Buys

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1453

Elo

1466

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'5"

187.96 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bruno SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25

KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25

SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25

vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26

SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26

latest

JP BuysL3 streak

oldest →

vs Montel Jackson · Sep 21

KOvs Cody Durden · Jun 22

KOvs Marcus McGhee · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bruno SilvaMetricJP Buys

3.86

Strikes / min

1.88

5.35

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

41%

Strike defense

40%

0.77

TDs / 15 min

1.55

74%

Takedown defense

25%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

2.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.49evenly matched on net striking-1.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Bruno SilvaJP Buys

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bruno Silva(10 fights)JP Buys(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.3|Blue +13.3

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bruno SilvaTargetJP Buys

By target zone

57% acc · 78%

Head

19% acc · 47%

67% acc · 11%

Body

57% acc · 24%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

71% acc · 29%

By position

60% acc · 70%

Distance

28% acc · 88%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

67% acc · 12%

63% acc · 27%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bruno Silva rounds

even

JP Buys rounds

Round 1Bruno Silva edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control2:33

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:50Control

Round 2Bruno Silva edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:18

Knockdowns3

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 61

Sig Strikes

17 / 56

61%

Sig Str %

29.5%

62 / 89

Total Strikes

37 / 76

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:51

Ctrl Time

1:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	JP Buys	6 / 22	21 / 37	0 / 1	1
1	Bruno Silva	15 / 23	29 / 40	1 / 2	0
2	JP Buys	11 / 34	16 / 39	0 / 0	0
2	Bruno Silva	22 / 38	33 / 49	0 / 0	0

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights23

JP Buys

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4