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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Bruno Silva won · SUB R3
Elo1453
Bruno Silva
Elo1491
HyunSung Park

Bruno SilvavsHyunSung ParkUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · Saturday, October 18, 2025Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Bruno Silva won

SUB · Round 3 · 2:15

Style matchupBruno Silva: Well-roundedvsHyunSung Park: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: HyunSung Park wins(55.8%)

Actual result: Bruno Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

HyunSung Park at -225 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bruno Silva enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • HyunSung Park has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Bruno Silva has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Bruno Silva has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Bruno Silva
Red Corner
VS
HyunSung Park
Blue Corner
+188
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
1453
Elo
1491
37
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'7"
187.96 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bruno SilvaL5 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 24
L
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25
L
KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25
L
vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26
L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26
latest
HyunSung Park
oldest →
W
SUBvs SeungGuk Choi · Feb 23
W
KOvs Shannon Ross · Dec 23
W
SUBvs Carlos Hernandez · May 25
L
SUBvs Tatsuro Taira · Aug 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bruno SilvaMetricHyunSung Park
3.86
Strikes / min
3.38
5.35
Strikes absorbed / min
3.14
41%
Strike defense
55%
0.77
TDs / 15 min
1.50
74%
Takedown defense
47%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.49Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1448 vs 1530Strikes4.0 vs 3.4Takedowns2.0 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.20 vs 1.80Form-0.7 vs 0.1
Bruno SilvaHyunSung Park

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401463148515081530← oldermost recent →
Bruno Silva(10 fights)HyunSung Park(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -37.9|Blue +37.9
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bruno SilvaTargetHyunSung Park

By target zone

30
53% acc · 65%
Head
18
21% acc · 58%
14
100% acc · 30%
Body
11
73% acc · 35%
2
67% acc · 4%
Leg
2
29% acc · 6%

By position

44
61% acc · 96%
Distance
23
24% acc · 74%
2
100% acc · 4%
Clinch
8
62% acc · 26%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Bruno Silva rounds
0
even
0
HyunSung Park rounds
Round 1Bruno Silva edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:40
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 2Bruno Silva edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control3:25
Knockdowns1
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Bruno Silva edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control0:44
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
46 / 74
Sig Strikes
31 / 108
62%
Sig Str %
28%
60 / 92
Total Strikes
56 / 136
5 / 9
TDs
1 / 4
66.7%
TD %
25%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
4:49
Ctrl Time
0:42

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1HyunSung Park10 / 3115 / 371 / 40
1Bruno Silva20 / 3320 / 331 / 10
2HyunSung Park7 / 3127 / 530 / 00
2Bruno Silva12 / 1826 / 362 / 40
3HyunSung Park14 / 4614 / 460 / 00
3Bruno Silva14 / 2314 / 232 / 41

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights23

HyunSung Park

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5