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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Edgar Chairez won · Submission R1

Elo1453

Elo1542

Bruno SilvavsEdgar ChairezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · Saturday, June 6, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Edgar Chairez won

Submission · Round 1 · 4:13

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Edgar Chairez

Model Prediction: Edgar Chairez wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Edgar Chairez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Bruno Silva has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Bruno Silva

Red Corner

Edgar Chairez

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1453

Elo

1542

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'7"

187.96 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bruno Silva

oldest →

KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 24

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · May 25

KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25

SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25

vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26

latest

Edgar ChairezW2 streak

oldest →

vs Tatsuro Taira · Jul 23

SUBvs Daniel Lacerda · Feb 24

vs Joshua Van · Sep 24

SUBvs CJ Vergara · Mar 25

vs Felipe Bunes · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bruno SilvaMetricEdgar Chairez

3.86

Strikes / min

3.65

5.35

Strikes absorbed / min

4.75

41%

Strike defense

46%

0.77

TDs / 15 min

0.00

74%

Takedown defense

38%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.49evenly matched on net striking-1.10

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bruno Silva(10 fights)Edgar Chairez(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -88.6|Blue +88.6

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bruno SilvaTargetEdgar Chairez

By target zone

50% acc · 65%

Head

54% acc · 83%

75% acc · 18%

Body

40% acc · 8%

100% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

59% acc · 100%

Distance

55% acc · 88%

Clinch

Ground

50% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bruno Silva rounds

even

Edgar Chairez rounds

Round 1Edgar Chairez edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

2Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 29

Sig Strikes

24 / 44

58%

Sig Str %

54%

17 / 29

Total Strikes

24 / 44

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Edgar Chairez	24 / 44	24 / 44	0 / 0	1
1	Bruno Silva	17 / 29	17 / 29	0 / 3	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

—

Odds

—

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 47% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked Jun 4, 2026, 3:29 PM UTC · never rewritten

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights23

Edgar Chairez

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7