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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Nursulton Ruziboev won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1504
Brunno Ferreira editorial illustration
Elo1544
Nursulton Ruziboev

Brunno FerreiravsNursulton RuziboevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Saturday, July 1, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nursulton Ruziboev won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:17

Model Prediction: Brunno Ferreira wins(66.6%)

Actual result: Nursulton Ruziboev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Nursulton Ruziboev is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Brunno Ferreira has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Brunno Ferreira has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Nursulton Ruziboev has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Brunno Ferreira
Red Corner
VS
Nursulton Ruziboev
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1504
Elo
1544
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'5"
182.88 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brunno FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Mar 25
W
SUBvs Jackson McVey · Jul 25
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 25
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Mar 26
L
DECvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 26
latest
Nursulton RuziboevW3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Mar 24
L
vs Joaquin Buckley · May 24
W
KOvs Eric McConico · Feb 25
W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · May 25
W
SUBvs Andrey Pulyaev · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brunno FerreiraMetricNursulton Ruziboev
3.77
Strikes / min
2.59
3.91
Strikes absorbed / min
2.89
51%
Strike defense
48%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
0.75
61%
Takedown defense
33%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.14evenly matched on net striking-0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1521 vs 1500Strikes5.0 vs 2.5Takedowns0.9 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.0
Brunno FerreiraNursulton Ruziboev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Brunno Ferreira(10 fights)Nursulton Ruziboev(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -40.0|Blue +40.0
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brunno FerreiraTargetNursulton Ruziboev

By target zone

0
Head
5
63% acc · 83%
0
0% acc
Body
0
3
75% acc · 100%
Leg
1
100% acc · 17%

By position

3
60% acc · 100%
Distance
3
60% acc · 50%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
3
75% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Brunno Ferreira rounds
0
even
1
Nursulton Ruziboev rounds
Round 1Nursulton Ruziboev edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 5
Sig Strikes
6 / 9
60%
Sig Str %
66%
3 / 5
Total Strikes
6 / 9
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 1
—
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Nursulton Ruziboev6 / 96 / 91 / 10
1Brunno Ferreira3 / 53 / 50 / 00

Brunno Ferreira

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10

Nursulton Ruziboev

StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7