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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Brunno Ferreira won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1504

Elo1486

Brunno FerreiravsDustin StoltzfusUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Saturday, June 8, 2024Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Brunno Ferreira won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:51

Style matchupBrunno Ferreira: Well-roundedvsDustin Stoltzfus: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Brunno Ferreira wins(59.5%)

Actual result: Brunno Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brunno Ferreira at -285 American odds

+$35 profit

$135 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brunno Ferreira has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Brunno Ferreira

Red Corner

Dustin Stoltzfus

Blue Corner

-285

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+230

(30%)

1504

Elo

1486

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'0"

182.88 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brunno FerreiraL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Mar 25

SUBvs Jackson McVey · Jul 25

vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 25

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Mar 26

DECvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 26

latest

Dustin StoltzfusL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Abus Magomedov · Sep 22

SUBvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 23

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Nov 24

vs Nursulton Ruziboev · May 25

vs Kelvin Gastelum · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brunno FerreiraMetricDustin Stoltzfus

3.77

Strikes / min

3.30

3.91

Strikes absorbed / min

3.23

51%

Strike defense

47%

1.25

TDs / 15 min

2.08

61%

Takedown defense

46%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.14evenly matched on net striking+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brunno FerreiraDustin Stoltzfus

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brunno Ferreira(10 fights)Dustin Stoltzfus(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.3|Blue -18.3

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brunno FerreiraTargetDustin Stoltzfus

By target zone

59% acc · 67%

Head

35% acc · 67%

86% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 22%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

67% acc · 92%

Distance

38% acc · 72%

67% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 17%

Ground

67% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brunno Ferreira rounds

even

Dustin Stoltzfus rounds

Round 1Brunno Ferreira edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:10

Knockdowns1

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:31Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 36

Sig Strikes

18 / 40

66%

Sig Str %

45%

27 / 40

Total Strikes

20 / 44

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

1:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dustin Stoltzfus	18 / 40	20 / 44	1 / 2	2
1	Brunno Ferreira	24 / 36	27 / 40	0 / 0	0

Brunno Ferreira

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10

Dustin Stoltzfus

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10