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Catch Weight

3 Rounds

Jalin Turner won · SUB

Elo1389

Elo1507

Brok WeavervsJalin TurnerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Saturday, September 12, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jalin Turner won

SUB

Style matchupBrok Weaver: Pressure fightervsJalin Turner: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Jalin Turner wins(77.8%)

Actual result: Jalin Turner wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jalin Turner at -420 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jalin Turner has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Brok Weaver

Red Corner

Jalin Turner

Blue Corner

+306

(25%)

Vegas Odds

-420

(81%)

1389

Elo

1507

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brok Weaver

oldest →

vs Kazula Vargas · Feb 20

SUBvs Roosevelt Roberts · May 20

latest

Jalin Turner

oldest →

vs Dan Hooker · Jul 23

KOvs King Green · Dec 23

KOvs Renato Moicano · Apr 24

SUBvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Mar 25

KOvs Edson Barboza · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brok WeaverMetricJalin Turner

4.78

Strikes / min

5.79

4.35

Strikes absorbed / min

4.54

46%

Strike defense

41%

0.41

TDs / 15 min

0.75

66%

Takedown defense

75%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.43evenly matched on net striking+1.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brok WeaverJalin Turner

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brok Weaver(3 fights)Jalin Turner(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -118.1|Blue +118.1

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -98.0|Blue +98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brok WeaverTargetJalin Turner

By target zone

50% acc · 30%

Head

34% acc · 64%

74% acc · 25%

Body

77% acc · 26%

93% acc · 45%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

69% acc · 86%

Distance

38% acc · 71%

75% acc · 11%

Clinch

67% acc · 9%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

65% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brok Weaver rounds

even

Jalin Turner rounds

Round 1Jalin Turner edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control0:28

Knockdowns0

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Jalin Turner edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

31Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:07Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 80

Sig Strikes

66 / 152

69.5%

Sig Str %

43%

60 / 85

Total Strikes

70 / 156

1 / 6

TDs

1 / 1

12.5%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:28

Ctrl Time

1:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jalin Turner	35 / 75	36 / 76	0 / 0	0
1	Brok Weaver	29 / 39	31 / 42	1 / 4	0
2	Jalin Turner	31 / 77	34 / 80	1 / 1	1
2	Brok Weaver	27 / 41	29 / 43	0 / 2	0

Brok Weaver

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3

Jalin Turner

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14