Skip to content
Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Juliana Miller won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1476
Brogan Walker
Elo1487

Brogan WalkervsJuliana MillerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · Saturday, August 6, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Juliana Miller won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:57

Model Prediction: Juliana Miller wins(75.6%)

Actual result: Juliana Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Juliana Miller at -140 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Juliana Miller has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Brogan Walker (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Brogan Walker
Red Corner
VS
Juliana Miller
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
1476
Elo
1487
37
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brogan WalkerL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Apr 23
L
vs Veronica Hardy · Oct 25
latest
Juliana Miller
oldest →
L
vs Veronica Hardy · Mar 23
L
KOvs Luana Santos · Aug 23
W
vs Ivana Petrovic · May 25
L
vs Carli Judice · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brogan WalkerMetricJuliana Miller
1.84
Strikes / min
2.65
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
4.14
47%
Strike defense
44%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
2.16
11%
Takedown defense
44%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.48evenly matched on net striking-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes2.0 vs 3.3Takedowns0.0 vs 1.8Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.80Form0.0 vs 0.0
Brogan WalkerJuliana Miller

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Brogan Walker(3 fights)Juliana Miller(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -11.4|Blue +11.4
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brogan WalkerTargetJuliana Miller

By target zone

16
48% acc · 53%
Head
43
60% acc · 80%
5
100% acc · 17%
Body
5
71% acc · 9%
9
90% acc · 30%
Leg
6
100% acc · 11%

By position

28
62% acc · 93%
Distance
25
61% acc · 46%
1
50% acc · 3%
Clinch
4
80% acc · 7%
1
100% acc · 3%
Ground
25
64% acc · 46%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Brogan Walker rounds
0
even
3
Juliana Miller rounds
Round 1Juliana Miller edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:07
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:29Control
Round 2Juliana Miller edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:51
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:04Control
Round 3Juliana Miller edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:18
33Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
30 / 48
Sig Strikes
54 / 85
66%
Sig Str %
63%
52 / 74
Total Strikes
110 / 156
0 / 0
TDs
4 / 4
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
1
1
Rev
0
1:16
Ctrl Time
9:40

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Juliana Miller8 / 1328 / 381 / 10
1Brogan Walker3 / 417 / 210 / 00
2Juliana Miller13 / 2027 / 372 / 21
2Brogan Walker12 / 1818 / 250 / 00
3Juliana Miller33 / 5255 / 811 / 10
3Brogan Walker15 / 2617 / 280 / 00

Brogan Walker

StanceSwitch
Height64.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3

Juliana Miller

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5