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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Clint Hester won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1352

Elo1357

Bristol MarundevsClint HesterUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · Saturday, April 13, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Clint Hester won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:53

Model Prediction: Clint Hester wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Clint Hester wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Clint Hester at -140 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Clint Hester enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Clint Hester is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Bristol Marunde has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Clint Hester has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Bristol Marunde

Red Corner

Clint Hester

Blue Corner

+130

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1352

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

190.5 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bristol Marunde

oldest →

KOvs Viscardi Andrade · Aug 13

latest

Clint HesterL3 streak

oldest →

vs Andy Enz · Feb 14

vs Antonio Braga Neto · Jun 14

KOvs Robert Whittaker · Nov 14

KOvs Vitor Miranda · Aug 15

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bristol MarundeMetricClint Hester

1.42

Strikes / min

3.36

4.40

Strikes absorbed / min

3.44

47%

Strike defense

56%

1.60

TDs / 15 min

1.02

14%

Takedown defense

60%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.98Δ 2.90 — meaningful gap-0.08

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Bristol Marunde(2 fights)Clint Hester(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.4|Blue +4.4

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bristol MarundeTargetClint Hester

By target zone

22% acc · 81%

Head

42% acc · 76%

100% acc · 10%

Body

60% acc · 14%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

70% acc · 11%

By position

24% acc · 81%

Distance

38% acc · 61%

44% acc · 19%

Clinch

65% acc · 20%

Ground

72% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Bristol Marunde rounds

even

Clint Hester rounds

Round 1Clint Hester edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control1:21

Knockdowns0

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Clint Hester edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control0:59

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:57Control

Round 3Clint Hester edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns0

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:54Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 81

Sig Strikes

66 / 143

26%

Sig Str %

46.3%

29 / 93

Total Strikes

78 / 156

3 / 9

TDs

0 / 1

41.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:25

Ctrl Time

1:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Clint Hester	22 / 50	23 / 51	0 / 0
1	Bristol Marunde	6 / 20	11 / 25	2 / 2
2	Clint Hester	21 / 42	31 / 52	0 / 1
2	Bristol Marunde	10 / 32	12 / 38	1 / 4
3	Clint Hester	23 / 51	24 / 53	0 / 0
3	Bristol Marunde	5 / 29	6 / 30	0 / 3

Bristol Marunde

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights2

Clint Hester

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7