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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Brian Stann won · SUB R3

Elo1352

Elo1351

Brian StannvsMike MassenzioUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · Sunday, August 1, 2010San Diego, California, USA

Official fight result

Brian Stann won

SUB · Round 3 · 3:10

Style matchupBrian Stann: Well-roundedvsMike Massenzio: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Brian Stann wins(63.7%)

Actual result: Brian Stann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brian Stann at +180 American odds

+$180 profit

$280 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Mike Massenzio (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Brian Stann

Red Corner

Mike Massenzio

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1352

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'2"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brian StannL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jorge Santiago · May 11

SUBvs Chael Sonnen · Oct 11

KOvs Alessio Sakara · Apr 12

vs Michael Bisping · Sep 12

KOvs Wanderlei Silva · Mar 13

latest

Mike MassenzioL2 streak

oldest →

vs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jun 11

vs Steve Cantwell · Oct 11

SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Jan 12

SUBvs Karlos Vemola · May 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brian StannMetricMike Massenzio

3.28

Strikes / min

2.08

2.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.59

59%

Strike defense

54%

0.12

TDs / 15 min

2.74

60%

Takedown defense

50%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.63Δ 2.14 — meaningful gap-1.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brian StannMike Massenzio

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brian Stann(7 fights)Mike Massenzio(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brian StannTargetMike Massenzio

By target zone

48% acc · 60%

Head

33% acc · 60%

93% acc · 33%

Body

100% acc · 20%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 20%

By position

15% acc · 7%

Distance

14% acc · 20%

69% acc · 21%

Clinch

100% acc · 20%

79% acc · 72%

Ground

100% acc · 60%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brian Stann rounds

even

Mike Massenzio rounds

Round 1Brian Stann edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control2:25

1Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

1:37Control

Round 2Brian Stann edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control2:36

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:02Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:16

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 72

Sig Strikes

5 / 11

57.3%

Sig Str %

43%

119 / 152

Total Strikes

26 / 33

0 / 0

TDs

5 / 9

—

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

5:17

Ctrl Time

5:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mike Massenzio	1 / 5	6 / 10	3 / 4	1
1	Brian Stann	18 / 30	44 / 59	0 / 0	0
2	Mike Massenzio	4 / 6	14 / 16	1 / 1	1
2	Brian Stann	18 / 26	51 / 59	0 / 0	0
3	Mike Massenzio	0 / 0	6 / 7	1 / 4	0
3	Brian Stann	7 / 16	24 / 34	0 / 0	2

Brian Stann

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights7

Mike Massenzio

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5