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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Brett Johns won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1499

Brett JohnsvsMontel JacksonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · Saturday, July 18, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Brett Johns won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBrett Johns: WrestlervsMontel Jackson: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Montel Jackson wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Brett Johns wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Montel Jackson at -215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Montel Jackson (53.5%).
Montel Jackson has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Brett Johns

Red Corner

Montel Jackson

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-215

(68%)

1493

Elo

1499

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brett Johns

oldest →

vs Albert Morales · Jul 17

SUBvs Joe Soto · Dec 17

vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 18

vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 18

SUBvs Tony Gravely · Jan 20

latest

Montel JacksonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 23

KOvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 24

vs Daniel Marcos · May 25

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Oct 25

DECvs Raoni Barcelos · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brett JohnsMetricMontel Jackson

2.86

Strikes / min

3.02

3.84

Strikes absorbed / min

1.40

53%

Strike defense

60%

4.92

TDs / 15 min

2.71

58%

Takedown defense

67%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.98Δ 2.60 — meaningful gap+1.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brett JohnsMontel Jackson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brett Johns(7 fights)Montel Jackson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.8|Blue +6.8

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brett JohnsTargetMontel Jackson

By target zone

50% acc · 64%

Head

51% acc · 69%

67% acc · 18%

Body

100% acc · 23%

100% acc · 18%

Leg

67% acc · 8%

By position

36% acc · 36%

Distance

45% acc · 54%

100% acc · 55%

Clinch

100% acc · 19%

50% acc · 9%

Ground

88% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brett Johns rounds

even

Montel Jackson rounds

Round 1Montel Jackson edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control2:24

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:37Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Brett Johns edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns3

Control3:23

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Round 3Brett Johns edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns3

Control2:55

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:28Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 19

Sig Strikes

26 / 44

57%

Sig Str %

63%

30 / 39

Total Strikes

80 / 99

8 / 19

TDs

2 / 3

43%

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

8:42

Ctrl Time

2:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Montel Jackson	11 / 17	25 / 32	1 / 1	0
1	Brett Johns	5 / 10	11 / 16	2 / 4	0
2	Montel Jackson	9 / 10	24 / 25	0 / 1	0
2	Brett Johns	1 / 2	7 / 8	3 / 8	0
3	Montel Jackson	6 / 17	31 / 42	1 / 1	0
3	Brett Johns	5 / 7	12 / 15	3 / 7	1

Brett Johns

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7

Montel Jackson

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights13