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Catch Weight

3 Rounds

Sean Strickland won · KO/TKO

Elo1550

Elo1530

Brendan AllenvsSean StricklandUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, November 14, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Sean Strickland won

KO/TKO

Style matchupBrendan Allen: Submission grapplervsSean Strickland: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Brendan Allen wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Sean Strickland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brendan Allen at -118 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Sean Strickland has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Brendan Allen

Red Corner

Sean Strickland

Blue Corner

-118

(54%)

Vegas Odds

-106

(51%)

1550

Elo

1530

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brendan AllenW3 streak

oldest →

vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24

vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25

vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25

KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25

DECvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 26

latest

Sean StricklandW2 streak

oldest →

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24

vs Paulo Costa · Jun 24

vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25

KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26

DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brendan AllenMetricSean Strickland

3.59

Strikes / min

5.98

3.62

Strikes absorbed / min

4.53

47%

Strike defense

60%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

0.66

56%

Takedown defense

68%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.03Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+1.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brendan AllenSean Strickland

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brendan Allen(10 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +20.2|Blue -20.2

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Grappler Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Layoff

Red +126.0|Blue -126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brendan AllenTargetSean Strickland

By target zone

44% acc · 55%

Head

57% acc · 96%

79% acc · 22%

Body

100% acc · 2%

92% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

57% acc · 98%

Distance

58% acc · 96%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

67% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brendan Allen rounds

even

Sean Strickland rounds

Round 1Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

56Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:34Control

Round 2Sean Strickland edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 90

Sig Strikes

94 / 161

58%

Sig Str %

58%

53 / 92

Total Strikes

106 / 176

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean Strickland	56 / 97	68 / 112	1 / 1
1	Brendan Allen	31 / 59	33 / 61	0 / 0
2	Sean Strickland	38 / 64	38 / 64	0 / 0
2	Brendan Allen	20 / 31	20 / 31	0 / 0

Brendan Allen

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19

Sean Strickland

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights25