Middleweight

3 Rounds

Brendan Allen won · U-DEC R3

Elo1550

Elo1529

Brendan AllenvsJacob MalkounUFC Prediction Result

UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Saturday, June 11, 2022Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Brendan Allen won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBrendan Allen: Submission grapplervsJacob Malkoun: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jacob Malkoun wins(58.9%)

Actual result: Brendan Allen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jacob Malkoun at +230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jacob Malkoun enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Brendan Allen

Red Corner

Jacob Malkoun

Blue Corner

-290

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+230

(30%)

1550

Elo

1529

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

5'9"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brendan AllenW3 streak

oldest →

vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24

vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25

vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25

KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25

DECvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 26

latest

Jacob MalkounW3 streak

oldest →

vs Nick Maximov · Oct 22

vs Cody Brundage · Sep 23

KOvs Andre Petroski · Mar 24

vs Torrez Finney · Jan 26

DECvs Gerald Meerschaert · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brendan AllenMetricJacob Malkoun

3.59

Strikes / min

4.23

3.62

Strikes absorbed / min

2.33

47%

Strike defense

55%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

5.39

56%

Takedown defense

55%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.03Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap+1.90

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brendan AllenJacob Malkoun

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brendan Allen(10 fights)Jacob Malkoun(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +21.5|Blue -21.5

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brendan AllenTargetJacob Malkoun

By target zone

58% acc · 80%

Head

58% acc · 88%

50% acc · 4%

Body

75% acc · 9%

88% acc · 16%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

51% acc · 62%

Distance

60% acc · 88%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

94% acc · 38%

Ground

50% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brendan Allen rounds

even

Jacob Malkoun rounds

Round 1Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control0:39

10Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:24Control

Round 2Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:39

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:58Control

Round 3Brendan Allen edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control2:06

11Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:47Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 74

Sig Strikes

33 / 55

64.7%

Sig Str %

60.3%

89 / 122

Total Strikes

66 / 96

2 / 2

TDs

7 / 14

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

3:24

Ctrl Time

7:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jacob Malkoun	10 / 20	13 / 27	3 / 6
1	Brendan Allen	15 / 34	25 / 45	1 / 1
2	Jacob Malkoun	12 / 19	32 / 43	2 / 4
2	Brendan Allen	12 / 16	25 / 29	0 / 0
3	Jacob Malkoun	11 / 16	21 / 26	2 / 4
3	Brendan Allen	18 / 24	39 / 48	1 / 1

Brendan Allen

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19

Jacob Malkoun

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8