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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Brandon Moreno won · S-DEC R3

Elo1487

Elo1405

Brandon MorenovsRyan BenoitUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · Saturday, December 3, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Brandon Moreno won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBrandon Moreno: Well-roundedvsRyan Benoit: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Brandon Moreno wins(61.6%)

Actual result: Brandon Moreno wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brandon Moreno at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ryan Benoit enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Brandon Moreno

Red Corner

Ryan Benoit

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1487

Elo

1405

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brandon MorenoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24

vs Amir Albazi · Nov 24

vs Steve Erceg · Mar 25

KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25

vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26

latest

Ryan BenoitL3 streak

oldest →

vs Fredy Serrano · Jul 16

KOvs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Nov 17

vs Heili Alateng · Dec 19

vs Tim Elliott · Jul 20

vs Zarrukh Adashev · Jul 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brandon MorenoMetricRyan Benoit

3.84

Strikes / min

2.88

3.64

Strikes absorbed / min

3.65

59%

Strike defense

58%

1.36

TDs / 15 min

0.28

65%

Takedown defense

72%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.20evenly matched on net striking-0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brandon MorenoRyan Benoit

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Ryan Benoit(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +81.7|Blue -81.7

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brandon MorenoTargetRyan Benoit

By target zone

29% acc · 65%

Head

26% acc · 91%

60% acc · 11%

Body

20% acc · 9%

100% acc · 24%

Leg

0% acc

By position

34% acc · 78%

Distance

24% acc · 87%

53% acc · 15%

Clinch

33% acc · 9%

80% acc · 7%

Ground

50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brandon Moreno rounds

even

Ryan Benoit rounds

Round 1Brandon Moreno edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns3

Control1:39

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Brandon Moreno edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control2:07

Knockdowns0

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Brandon Moreno edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control1:05

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 143

Sig Strikes

23 / 93

37.3%

Sig Str %

25%

78 / 167

Total Strikes

25 / 95

5 / 13

TDs

0 / 1

42%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:51

Ctrl Time

0:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ryan Benoit	7 / 32	7 / 32	0 / 0
1	Brandon Moreno	17 / 55	21 / 59	3 / 5
2	Ryan Benoit	6 / 20	8 / 22	0 / 1
2	Brandon Moreno	14 / 41	32 / 59	2 / 3
3	Ryan Benoit	10 / 41	10 / 41	0 / 0
3	Brandon Moreno	23 / 47	25 / 49	0 / 5

Brandon Moreno

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights18

Ryan Benoit

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights9