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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Brandon Moreno won · Decision R3

Elo1487

Elo1495

Brandon MorenovsKai Kara FranceUFC Prediction Result

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Saturday, December 14, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Brandon Moreno won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Brandon Moreno wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Brandon Moreno wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brandon Moreno at +140 American odds

+$140 profit

$240 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Brandon Moreno

Red Corner

Kai Kara France

Blue Corner

+140

(42%)

Vegas Odds

-160

(62%)

1487

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'4"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brandon MorenoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24

vs Amir Albazi · Nov 24

vs Steve Erceg · Mar 25

KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25

vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26

latest

Kai Kara France

oldest →

DECvs Tyson Nam · Feb 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brandon MorenoMetricKai Kara France

3.84

Strikes / min

—

3.64

Strikes absorbed / min

—

59%

Strike defense

—

1.36

TDs / 15 min

—

65%

Takedown defense

—

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brandon MorenoKai Kara France

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Kai Kara France(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -8.9|Blue +8.9

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -48.6|Blue +48.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Brandon Moreno

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights18

Kai Kara France

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights1