Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kai Kara-France has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon MorenoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26 Kai Kara-France
oldest →W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 21W
vs Askar Askarov · Mar 22W
KOvs Steve Erceg · Aug 24L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon MorenoMetricKai Kara-France
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.20Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brandon MorenoKai Kara-France
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Kai Kara-France(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.9|Blue +8.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brandon MorenoTargetKai Kara-France
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kai Kara-France edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:13
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:26
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns1
28Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:24Control
0Knockdowns
