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Flyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Deiveson Figueiredo won · U-DEC R5

Elo1487

Elo1483

Brandon MorenovsDeiveson FigueiredoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Saturday, January 22, 2022Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupBrandon Moreno: Well-roundedvsDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Brandon Moreno wins(55.8%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brandon Moreno at -195 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brandon Moreno has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Brandon Moreno

Red Corner

Deiveson Figueiredo

Blue Corner

-195

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1487

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brandon MorenoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24

vs Amir Albazi · Nov 24

vs Steve Erceg · Mar 25

KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25

vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26

latest

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brandon MorenoMetricDeiveson Figueiredo

3.84

Strikes / min

2.63

3.64

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

59%

Strike defense

49%

1.36

TDs / 15 min

1.61

65%

Takedown defense

57%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.20Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brandon MorenoDeiveson Figueiredo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.8|Blue -3.8

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brandon MorenoTargetDeiveson Figueiredo

By target zone

33% acc · 68%

Head

38% acc · 47%

67% acc · 17%

Body

73% acc · 22%

89% acc · 15%

Leg

73% acc · 31%

By position

100

40% acc · 95%

Distance

50% acc · 93%

71% acc · 5%

Clinch

71% acc · 6%

Ground

50% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brandon Moreno rounds

even

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

Round 1Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:30

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:18Control

Round 2Brandon Moreno edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:21Control

2Knockdowns

Round 4Brandon Moreno edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Round 5Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:16

Knockdowns0

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

105 / 259

Sig Strikes

86 / 169

39%

Sig Str %

51.6%

106 / 260

Total Strikes

95 / 178

1 / 2

TDs

2 / 11

50%

TD %

26.6%

Sub Att

Rev

0:46

Ctrl Time

2:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	15 / 23	18 / 26	1 / 3
1	Brandon Moreno	10 / 34	11 / 35	0 / 0
2	Brandon Moreno	28 / 64	28 / 64	0 / 1
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	19 / 36	19 / 36	0 / 4
3	Deiveson Figueiredo	19 / 36	19 / 36	1 / 1
3	Brandon Moreno	26 / 58	26 / 58	0 / 0
4	Deiveson Figueiredo	15 / 31	19 / 35	0 / 1
4	Brandon Moreno	20 / 48	20 / 48	0 / 0
5	Brandon Moreno	21 / 55	21 / 55	1 / 1
5	Deiveson Figueiredo	18 / 43	20 / 45	0 / 2

Brandon Moreno

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights18

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20