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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Brandon Moreno won · KO/TKO

Elo1487

Elo1511

Brandon MorenovsBrandon RoyvalUFC Prediction Result

UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Saturday, November 21, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Brandon Moreno won

KO/TKO

Style matchupBrandon Moreno: Well-roundedvsBrandon Royval: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Brandon Royval wins(65.4%)

Actual result: Brandon Moreno wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brandon Royval at +150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brandon Moreno has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Brandon Moreno has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Royval (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Brandon Moreno

Red Corner

Brandon Royval

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1487

Elo

1511

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brandon MorenoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24

vs Amir Albazi · Nov 24

vs Steve Erceg · Mar 25

KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25

vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26

latest

Brandon Royval

oldest →

vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 24

vs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 24

vs Joshua Van · Jun 25

KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 25

SUBvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brandon MorenoMetricBrandon Royval

3.84

Strikes / min

5.54

3.64

Strikes absorbed / min

4.25

59%

Strike defense

43%

1.36

TDs / 15 min

0.65

65%

Takedown defense

45%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.20Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+1.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brandon MorenoBrandon Royval

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Brandon Royval(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -24.0|Blue +24.0

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +196.0|Blue -196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brandon MorenoTargetBrandon Royval

By target zone

37% acc · 63%

Head

18% acc · 41%

75% acc · 19%

Body

63% acc · 29%

100% acc · 19%

Leg

83% acc · 29%

By position

43% acc · 75%

Distance

30% acc · 88%

Clinch

67% acc · 25%

Ground

100% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brandon Moreno rounds

even

Brandon Royval rounds

Round 1Brandon Moreno edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control3:01

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 34

Sig Strikes

17 / 52

47%

Sig Str %

32%

53 / 73

Total Strikes

24 / 62

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:01

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brandon Royval	17 / 52	24 / 62	0 / 0	0
1	Brandon Moreno	16 / 34	53 / 73	2 / 2	2

Brandon Moreno

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights18

Brandon Royval

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights13