Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Flyweight
5 Rounds
Brandon Moreno won · U-DEC R5
Elo1487
Brandon Moreno
Elo1494

Brandon MorenovsAmir AlbaziUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Saturday, November 2, 2024Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Brandon Moreno won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Brandon Moreno wins(58.8%)

Actual result: Brandon Moreno wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brandon Moreno at -180 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Brandon Moreno
Red Corner
VS
Amir Albazi
Blue Corner
-180
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
1487
Elo
1494
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brandon MorenoL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jul 23
L
vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24
W
vs Steve Erceg · Mar 25
L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25
L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26
latest
Amir Albazi
oldest →
W
vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov · Jan 21
W
SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Aug 22
W
KOvs Alessandro Costa · Dec 22
W
vs Kai Kara-France · Jun 23
L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brandon MorenoMetricAmir Albazi
3.84
Strikes / min
2.47
3.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
59%
Strike defense
59%
1.36
TDs / 15 min
1.18
65%
Takedown defense
62%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.20Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-1.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1567 vs 1576Strikes4.0 vs 2.7Takedowns1.6 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.50Form-0.5 vs 1.0
Brandon MorenoAmir Albazi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Amir Albazi(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -7.7|Blue +7.7
Recent Form
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -266.0|Blue +266.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brandon MorenoTargetAmir Albazi

By target zone

113
40% acc · 86%
Head
50
24% acc · 79%
12
55% acc · 9%
Body
6
43% acc · 10%
7
64% acc · 5%
Leg
7
50% acc · 11%

By position

128
41% acc · 97%
Distance
63
27% acc · 100%
4
50% acc · 3%
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

5
Brandon Moreno rounds
0
even
0
Amir Albazi rounds
Round 1Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
132 / 317
Sig Strikes
63 / 235
42.2%
Sig Str %
26.4%
132 / 317
Total Strikes
63 / 236
0 / 1
TDs
1 / 4
0%
TD %
33.3%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:09

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Amir Albazi16 / 3916 / 390 / 00
1Brandon Moreno18 / 3618 / 360 / 00
2Amir Albazi6 / 336 / 331 / 10
2Brandon Moreno29 / 6729 / 670 / 00
3Amir Albazi12 / 4312 / 430 / 10
3Brandon Moreno31 / 6831 / 680 / 00
4Amir Albazi20 / 6620 / 660 / 00
4Brandon Moreno22 / 7022 / 700 / 00
5Brandon Moreno32 / 7632 / 760 / 10
5Amir Albazi9 / 549 / 550 / 20

Brandon Moreno

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18

Amir Albazi

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7