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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Giga Chikadze won · S-DEC R3
Elo1438
Elo1477
Giga Chikadze

Brandon DavisvsGiga ChikadzeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Saturday, September 28, 2019Copenhagen, Denmark

Official fight result

Giga Chikadze won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBrandon Davis: Pressure fightervsGiga Chikadze: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Giga Chikadze wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Giga Chikadze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Giga Chikadze at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Brandon Davis enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Giga Chikadze enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Brandon Davis
Red Corner
VS
Giga Chikadze
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
1438
Elo
1477
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brandon DavisL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Sep 18
W
SUBvs Randy Costa · Apr 19
L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 19
L
KOvs Batgerel Danaa · Oct 21
L
vs Mana Martinez · Oct 22
latest
Giga ChikadzeL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Calvin Kattar · Jan 22
W
vs Alex Caceres · Aug 23
L
vs Arnold Allen · Jul 24
L
vs David Onama · Apr 25
L
KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brandon DavisMetricGiga Chikadze
4.68
Strikes / min
3.75
4.62
Strikes absorbed / min
3.47
58%
Strike defense
59%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
0.18
57%
Takedown defense
65%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1476 vs 1500Strikes4.7 vs 3.3Takedowns0.7 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs 0.0
Brandon DavisGiga Chikadze

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Brandon Davis(9 fights)Giga Chikadze(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -38.9|Blue +38.9
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -47.5|Blue +47.5
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brandon DavisTargetGiga Chikadze

By target zone

20
26% acc · 59%
Head
44
48% acc · 75%
5
56% acc · 15%
Body
8
50% acc · 14%
9
69% acc · 26%
Leg
7
58% acc · 12%

By position

26
29% acc · 76%
Distance
43
43% acc · 73%
3
100% acc · 9%
Clinch
0
5
100% acc · 15%
Ground
16
80% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Brandon Davis rounds
0
even
2
Giga Chikadze rounds
Round 1Giga Chikadze edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control2:09
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:11Control
Round 2Giga Chikadze edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control0:33
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Brandon Davis edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control0:20
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
34 / 99
Sig Strikes
59 / 119
42.7%
Sig Str %
51.7%
36 / 103
Total Strikes
71 / 133
3 / 7
TDs
1 / 2
44.3%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
1
3:02
Ctrl Time
1:11

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Giga Chikadze20 / 2932 / 431 / 20
1Brandon Davis3 / 54 / 81 / 20
2Giga Chikadze21 / 4221 / 420 / 00
2Brandon Davis14 / 3514 / 351 / 20
3Giga Chikadze18 / 4818 / 480 / 00
3Brandon Davis17 / 5918 / 601 / 30

Brandon Davis

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9

Giga Chikadze

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights12