Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Brady Hiestand won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1511

Elo1456

Brady HiestandvsBatgerel DanaaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Saturday, April 22, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Brady Hiestand won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:21

Style matchupBrady Hiestand: WrestlervsBatgerel Danaa: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Brady Hiestand wins(82.3%)

Actual result: Brady Hiestand wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brady Hiestand at +134 American odds

+$134 profit

$234 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Batgerel Danaa has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Brady Hiestand

Red Corner

Batgerel Danaa

Blue Corner

+134

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-158

(61%)

1511

Elo

1456

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brady HiestandW2 streak

oldest →

vs Ricky Turcios · Aug 21

vs Fernie Garcia · Nov 22

SUBvs Garrett Armfield · Jun 24

latest

Batgerel DanaaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Brandon Davis · Oct 21

KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Mar 22

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Jun 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brady HiestandMetricBatgerel Danaa

2.70

Strikes / min

5.38

3.75

Strikes absorbed / min

4.21

51%

Strike defense

47%

4.80

TDs / 15 min

0.52

42%

Takedown defense

62%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.05Δ 2.22 — meaningful gap+1.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brady HiestandBatgerel Danaa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brady Hiestand(4 fights)Batgerel Danaa(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +55.9|Blue -55.9

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -161.0|Blue +161.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brady HiestandTargetBatgerel Danaa

By target zone

50% acc · 64%

Head

27% acc · 80%

73% acc · 24%

Body

40% acc · 5%

63% acc · 11%

Leg

75% acc · 15%

By position

53% acc · 91%

Distance

26% acc · 71%

Clinch

78% acc · 17%

100% acc · 9%

Ground

38% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brady Hiestand rounds

even

Batgerel Danaa rounds

Round 1Brady Hiestand edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:34

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Batgerel Danaa edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns2

Control2:49

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:00Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Brady Hiestand edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control0:46

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 81

Sig Strikes

41 / 134

53.3%

Sig Str %

31%

96 / 143

Total Strikes

92 / 200

3 / 7

TDs

1 / 1

55.3%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

4:09

Ctrl Time

1:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Batgerel Danaa	14 / 52	28 / 66	0 / 0
1	Brady Hiestand	15 / 28	18 / 31	0 / 3
2	Batgerel Danaa	17 / 37	54 / 89	1 / 1
2	Brady Hiestand	4 / 8	7 / 12	2 / 3
3	Batgerel Danaa	10 / 45	10 / 45	0 / 0
3	Brady Hiestand	26 / 45	71 / 100	1 / 1

Brady Hiestand

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4

Batgerel Danaa

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4