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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Krzysztof Jotko won · Decision R3
Elo1366
Bradley Scott
Elo1496
Krzysztof Jotko

Bradley ScottvsKrzysztof JotkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · Saturday, February 27, 2016London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Krzysztof Jotko won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Bradley Scott wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Krzysztof Jotko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Bradley Scott at +135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bradley Scott threatens submissions; Krzysztof Jotko has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Bradley Scott
Red Corner
VS
Krzysztof Jotko
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
1366
Elo
1496
26
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bradley ScottL2 streak
oldest →
L
DECvs Claudio Silva · Mar 14
W
SUBvs Dylan Andrews · May 15
W
DECvs Scott Askham · Mar 17
L
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Aug 17
L
DECvs Carlo Pedersoli · May 18
latest
Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →
W
vs Eryk Anders · May 20
L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21
W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21
W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22
L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bradley ScottMetricKrzysztof Jotko
—
Strikes / min
2.98
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.23
—
Strike defense
57%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.33
—
Takedown defense
82%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1534Strikes38.0 vs 36.0Takedowns0.5 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.75 vs 0.00Form0.5 vs 0.7
Bradley ScottKrzysztof Jotko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Bradley Scott(8 fights)Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -130.5|Blue +130.5
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +168.0|Blue -168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Bradley Scott

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6

Krzysztof Jotko

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16