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Middleweight

3 Rounds

JunYong Park won · S-DEC R3

Elo1481

Elo1510

Brad TavaresvsJunYong ParkUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · Saturday, October 12, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

JunYong Park won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBrad Tavares: Well-roundedvsJunYong Park: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: JunYong Park wins(83.7%)

Actual result: JunYong Park wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brad Tavares has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Brad Tavares

Red Corner

JunYong Park

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1481

Elo

1510

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brad TavaresL2 streak

oldest →

vs Chris Weidman · Aug 23

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24

vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25

KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25

vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26

latest

JunYong Park

oldest →

SUBvs Denis Tiuliulin · Feb 23

SUBvs Albert Duraev · Jul 23

vs Andre Muniz · Dec 23

vs Ismail Naurdiev · Jun 25

vs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brad TavaresMetricJunYong Park

3.41

Strikes / min

4.64

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

3.82

54%

Strike defense

51%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

1.69

80%

Takedown defense

54%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.09evenly matched on net striking+0.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brad TavaresJunYong Park

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brad Tavares(10 fights)JunYong Park(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -28.9|Blue +28.9

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brad TavaresTargetJunYong Park

By target zone

40% acc · 85%

Head

50% acc · 77%

67% acc · 3%

Body

67% acc · 4%

80% acc · 12%

Leg

95% acc · 19%

By position

43% acc · 95%

Distance

54% acc · 92%

0% acc

Clinch

60% acc · 3%

60% acc · 5%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brad Tavares rounds

even

JunYong Park rounds

Round 1Brad Tavares edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:42

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:18Control

Round 2JunYong Park edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

67Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 3JunYong Park edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:39Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

65 / 149

Sig Strikes

99 / 177

49.7%

Sig Str %

53%

73 / 159

Total Strikes

124 / 210

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 6

—

TD %

44.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:42

Ctrl Time

6:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	JunYong Park	19 / 46	21 / 48	0 / 2
1	Brad Tavares	26 / 57	27 / 60	0 / 0
2	JunYong Park	67 / 108	68 / 109	1 / 1
2	Brad Tavares	31 / 80	31 / 80	0 / 0
3	JunYong Park	13 / 23	35 / 53	1 / 3
3	Brad Tavares	8 / 12	15 / 19	0 / 0

Brad Tavares

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights28

JunYong Park

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9