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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Brad Tavares won · U-DEC R3

Elo1481

Elo1490

Brad TavaresvsDongi YangUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · Tuesday, May 15, 2012Fairfax, Virginia, USA

Official fight result

Brad Tavares won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBrad Tavares: Well-roundedvsDongi Yang: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Dongi Yang wins(51.9%)

Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dongi Yang at +150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dongi Yang is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Brad Tavares has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Brad Tavares has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Dongi Yang (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Brad Tavares

Red Corner

Dongi Yang

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1481

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brad TavaresL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24

vs JunYong Park · Oct 24

vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25

KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25

vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26

latest

Dongi Yang

oldest →

vs Chris Camozzi · Oct 10

KOvs Rob Kimmons · Mar 11

vs Court McGee · Sep 11

KOvs Jake Collier · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brad TavaresMetricDongi Yang

3.41

Strikes / min

3.55

3.32

Strikes absorbed / min

3.21

54%

Strike defense

63%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

1.70

80%

Takedown defense

61%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.09evenly matched on net striking+0.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brad TavaresDongi Yang

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brad Tavares(10 fights)Dongi Yang(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -9.7|Blue +9.7

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +77.0|Blue -77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brad TavaresTargetDongi Yang

By target zone

11% acc · 33%

Head

29% acc · 53%

45% acc · 26%

Body

40% acc · 13%

70% acc · 41%

Leg

73% acc · 34%

By position

23% acc · 90%

Distance

35% acc · 88%

80% acc · 10%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brad Tavares rounds

even

Dongi Yang rounds

Round 1Brad Tavares edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:31

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Round 2Dongi Yang edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:29

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 3Brad Tavares edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control1:18

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 159

Sig Strikes

32 / 83

23.3%

Sig Str %

38.7%

47 / 167

Total Strikes

44 / 95

2 / 3

TDs

1 / 3

66%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:18

Ctrl Time

0:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dongi Yang	7 / 27	12 / 32	0 / 0
1	Brad Tavares	19 / 64	24 / 69	0 / 0
2	Dongi Yang	14 / 34	17 / 37	0 / 2
2	Brad Tavares	9 / 48	12 / 51	0 / 0
3	Dongi Yang	11 / 22	15 / 26	1 / 1
3	Brad Tavares	11 / 47	11 / 47	2 / 3

Brad Tavares

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights28

Dongi Yang

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5