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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Brad Tavares won · Decision R3
Elo1481
Brad Tavares
Elo1353
Bubba McDaniel

Brad TavaresvsBubba McDanielUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · Wednesday, August 28, 2013Indianapolis, Indiana, USA

Official fight result

Brad Tavares won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Brad Tavares wins(52.7%)

Actual result: Brad Tavares wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brad Tavares at -525 American odds

+$19 profit

$119 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Bubba McDaniel (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Brad Tavares
Red Corner
VS
Bubba McDaniel
Blue Corner
-525
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
1481
Elo
1353
38
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24
L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24
W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25
L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25
L
vs Eryk Anders · Mar 26
latest
Bubba McDaniel
oldest →
W
SUBvs Gilbert Smith · Apr 13
L
SUBvs Sean Strickland · Mar 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brad TavaresMetricBubba McDaniel
3.41
Strikes / min
—
3.32
Strikes absorbed / min
—
54%
Strike defense
—
0.70
TDs / 15 min
—
80%
Takedown defense
—
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1565 vs 1519Strikes48.5 vs 35.0Takedowns1.8 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 3.00Form0.8 vs 1.0
Brad TavaresBubba McDaniel

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Bubba McDaniel(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +127.8|Blue -127.8
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Brad Tavares

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights28

Bubba McDaniel

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1