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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Brad Pickett won · U-DEC R3
Elo1360
Brad Pickett
Elo1361
Neil Seery

Brad PickettvsNeil SeeryUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · Saturday, March 8, 2014London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Brad Pickett won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Brad Pickett wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Brad Pickett wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brad Pickett at -1000 American odds

+$10 profit

$110 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Brad Pickett has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Brad Pickett
Red Corner
VS
Neil Seery
Blue Corner
-1000
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+800
(11%)
1360
Elo
1361
47
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brad PickettL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15
W
vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16
L
SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16
L
vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16
L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17
latest
Neil SeeryL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Chris Beal · Jan 15
L
vs Louis Smolka · Jul 15
W
SUBvs Jon Delos Reyes · Oct 15
L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · May 16
L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jul 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brad PickettMetricNeil Seery
3.02
Strikes / min
3.56
4.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.79
55%
Strike defense
58%
2.47
TDs / 15 min
0.78
58%
Takedown defense
53%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.61Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap-0.23

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1503 vs 1500Strikes35.3 vs —Takedowns1.5 vs —Sub Atts0.17 vs —Form-0.0 vs 0.0
Brad PickettNeil Seery

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Brad Pickett(10 fights)Neil Seery(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brad PickettTargetNeil Seery

By target zone

27
23% acc · 55%
Head
41
41% acc · 87%
7
78% acc · 14%
Body
6
43% acc · 13%
15
94% acc · 31%
Leg
0

By position

34
32% acc · 69%
Distance
41
40% acc · 87%
11
65% acc · 22%
Clinch
6
50% acc · 13%
4
22% acc · 8%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Brad Pickett rounds
1
even
0
Neil Seery rounds
Round 1Brad Pickett edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control2:44
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Brad Pickett edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control2:40
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns2
Control2:18
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
49 / 141
Sig Strikes
47 / 114
35.7%
Sig Str %
38.7%
88 / 186
Total Strikes
54 / 122
4 / 8
TDs
0 / 1
49.7%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
7:42
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Neil Seery8 / 248 / 240 / 00
1Brad Pickett14 / 3227 / 491 / 21
2Neil Seery13 / 3919 / 460 / 00
2Brad Pickett20 / 5428 / 621 / 30
3Neil Seery26 / 5127 / 520 / 10
3Brad Pickett15 / 5533 / 752 / 30

Brad Pickett

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14

Neil Seery

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights7