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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Brad Pickett won · S-DEC R3

Elo1360

Elo1353

Brad PickettvsMike EastonUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · Saturday, April 6, 2013Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Brad Pickett won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBrad Pickett: WrestlervsMike Easton: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Mike Easton wins(59.7%)

Actual result: Brad Pickett wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Easton at +135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mike Easton enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Mike Easton (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Brad Pickett

Red Corner

Mike Easton

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1360

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brad PickettL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15

vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16

SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16

vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16

KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17

latest

Mike EastonL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jared Papazian · Jan 12

vs Ivan Menjivar · Jul 12

vs Raphael Assuncao · Dec 12

vs TJ Dillashaw · Jan 14

vs Yves Jabouin · Jun 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brad PickettMetricMike Easton

3.02

Strikes / min

3.51

4.63

Strikes absorbed / min

4.28

55%

Strike defense

61%

2.47

TDs / 15 min

0.75

58%

Takedown defense

66%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.61evenly matched on net striking-0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brad PickettMike Easton

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brad Pickett(10 fights)Mike Easton(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +6.4|Blue -6.4

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brad PickettTargetMike Easton

By target zone

27% acc · 74%

Head

37% acc · 62%

67% acc · 12%

Body

64% acc · 20%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

93% acc · 18%

By position

28% acc · 69%

Distance

42% acc · 73%

64% acc · 31%

Clinch

62% acc · 25%

0% acc

Ground

33% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brad Pickett rounds

even

Mike Easton rounds

Round 1Brad Pickett edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns2

Control0:57

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:39Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control1:13

29Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control2:23

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

68 / 205

Sig Strikes

71 / 155

33.3%

Sig Str %

46%

94 / 234

Total Strikes

91 / 182

4 / 7

TDs

3 / 8

66.3%

TD %

41.7%

Sub Att

Rev

4:33

Ctrl Time

2:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mike Easton	25 / 43	31 / 55	1 / 4
1	Brad Pickett	26 / 54	29 / 57	2 / 3
2	Mike Easton	29 / 65	40 / 77	1 / 2
2	Brad Pickett	29 / 88	34 / 93	1 / 3
3	Mike Easton	17 / 47	20 / 50	1 / 2
3	Brad Pickett	13 / 63	31 / 84	1 / 1

Brad Pickett

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Mike Easton

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7