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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Chico Camus won · S-DEC R3

Elo1360

Elo1355

Brad PickettvsChico CamusUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · Saturday, November 22, 2014Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Chico Camus won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBrad Pickett: WrestlervsChico Camus: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Brad Pickett wins(51.6%)

Actual result: Chico Camus wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brad Pickett at -175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Chico Camus enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Brad Pickett

Red Corner

Chico Camus

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1360

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brad PickettL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thomas Almeida · Jul 15

vs Francisco Rivera · Feb 16

SUBvs Iuri Alcantara · Oct 16

vs Urijah Faber · Dec 16

KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 17

latest

Chico CamusL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Dustin Kimura · Feb 13

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 13

vs Chris Holdsworth · May 14

vs Henry Cejudo · Jun 15

vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Sep 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brad PickettMetricChico Camus

3.02

Strikes / min

2.58

4.63

Strikes absorbed / min

2.46

55%

Strike defense

64%

2.47

TDs / 15 min

0.77

58%

Takedown defense

72%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.61Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap+0.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brad PickettChico Camus

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brad Pickett(10 fights)Chico Camus(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.3|Blue -4.3

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -56.0|Blue +56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brad PickettTargetChico Camus

By target zone

25% acc · 60%

Head

47% acc · 92%

42% acc · 9%

Body

56% acc · 7%

94% acc · 30%

Leg

100% acc · 1%

By position

31% acc · 79%

Distance

45% acc · 87%

44% acc · 8%

Clinch

83% acc · 7%

58% acc · 13%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brad Pickett rounds

even

Chico Camus rounds

Round 1Chico Camus edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control1:46

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control0:54

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Chico Camus edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:16

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

53 / 158

Sig Strikes

71 / 149

33.3%

Sig Str %

47.7%

72 / 179

Total Strikes

94 / 172

2 / 9

TDs

1 / 2

22%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:56

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chico Camus	25 / 47	41 / 63	1 / 1
1	Brad Pickett	16 / 53	34 / 73	1 / 3
2	Chico Camus	22 / 54	29 / 61	0 / 1
2	Brad Pickett	19 / 50	20 / 51	1 / 3
3	Chico Camus	24 / 48	24 / 48	0 / 0
3	Brad Pickett	18 / 55	18 / 55	0 / 3

Brad Pickett

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Chico Camus

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7