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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Hunter Azure won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1493

Brad KatonavsHunter AzureUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · Saturday, September 14, 2019Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Hunter Azure won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBrad Katona: Pressure fightervsHunter Azure: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Hunter Azure wins(56.9%)

Actual result: Hunter Azure wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hunter Azure at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hunter Azure has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Brad Katona

Red Corner

Hunter Azure

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1491

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'8"

162.56 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brad KatonaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cody Gibson · Aug 23

vs Garrett Armfield · Jan 24

vs Jesse Butler · Jun 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Oct 24

KOvs Bekzat Almakhan · May 25

latest

Hunter Azure

oldest →

KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 20

vs Cole Smith · Sep 20

vs Jack Shore · Apr 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brad KatonaMetricHunter Azure

4.81

Strikes / min

3.92

4.75

Strikes absorbed / min

2.08

50%

Strike defense

58%

1.86

TDs / 15 min

1.97

61%

Takedown defense

67%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap+1.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Brad KatonaHunter Azure

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brad Katona(9 fights)Hunter Azure(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.8|Blue +1.8

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -46.9|Blue +46.9

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brad KatonaTargetHunter Azure

By target zone

35% acc · 86%

Head

27% acc · 61%

29% acc · 10%

Body

55% acc · 27%

50% acc · 5%

Leg

71% acc · 12%

By position

31% acc · 81%

Distance

31% acc · 80%

67% acc · 19%

Clinch

75% acc · 15%

Ground

40% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brad Katona rounds

even

Hunter Azure rounds

Round 1Brad Katona edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control3:05

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns2

Control2:36

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Hunter Azure edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control0:42

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:26Control

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 60

Sig Strikes

41 / 118

35.7%

Sig Str %

35%

40 / 83

Total Strikes

55 / 133

3 / 12

TDs

0 / 1

27.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:23

Ctrl Time

0:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Hunter Azure	8 / 22	11 / 25	0 / 0
1	Brad Katona	5 / 12	16 / 25	0 / 5
2	Hunter Azure	18 / 46	23 / 52	0 / 0
2	Brad Katona	8 / 23	13 / 30	2 / 4
3	Hunter Azure	15 / 50	21 / 56	0 / 1
3	Brad Katona	8 / 25	11 / 28	1 / 3

Brad Katona

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights9

Hunter Azure

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4