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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Bolaji Oki won · S-DEC R3
Elo1470
Bolaji Oki
Elo1497

Bolaji OkivsTimmy CuambaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Saturday, February 10, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bolaji Oki won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupBolaji Oki: Pressure fightervsTimmy Cuamba: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Bolaji Oki wins(68.7%)

Actual result: Bolaji Oki wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Timmy Cuamba is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Bolaji Oki has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Bolaji Oki
Red Corner
VS
Timmy Cuamba
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1470
Elo
1497
30
Age
27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Bolaji OkiL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Sep 24
W
vs Michael Aswell Jr. · May 25
L
KOvs Mason Jones · Sep 25
L
KOvs Manoel Sousa · Mar 26
latest
Timmy Cuamba
oldest →
L
vs Lucas Almeida · Jun 24
W
KOvs Roberto Romero · Apr 25
W
vs ChangHo Lee · Nov 25
L
SUBvs Benardo Sopaj · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Bolaji OkiMetricTimmy Cuamba
6.42
Strikes / min
2.77
5.12
Strikes absorbed / min
3.58
61%
Strike defense
57%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
1.31
75%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.30Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap-0.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes5.2 vs 3.0Takedowns0.8 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Bolaji OkiTimmy Cuamba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501470149015101530← oldermost recent →
Bolaji Oki(5 fights)Timmy Cuamba(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -26.7|Blue +26.7
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Bolaji OkiTargetTimmy Cuamba

By target zone

51
37% acc · 85%
Head
20
30% acc · 61%
5
63% acc · 8%
Body
8
57% acc · 24%
4
80% acc · 7%
Leg
5
38% acc · 15%

By position

58
40% acc · 97%
Distance
26
30% acc · 79%
1
25% acc · 2%
Clinch
5
83% acc · 15%
1
33% acc · 2%
Ground
2
100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Bolaji Oki rounds
0
even
1
Timmy Cuamba rounds
Round 1Bolaji Oki edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control0:10
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Timmy Cuamba edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:19
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:55Control
Round 3Bolaji Oki edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:20
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
60 / 152
Sig Strikes
33 / 94
39.3%
Sig Str %
38.3%
61 / 157
Total Strikes
35 / 96
1 / 1
TDs
1 / 6
100%
TD %
12.5%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:49
Ctrl Time
1:55

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Timmy Cuamba9 / 439 / 430 / 00
1Bolaji Oki29 / 6130 / 641 / 10
2Timmy Cuamba11 / 2113 / 231 / 40
2Bolaji Oki10 / 2510 / 260 / 00
3Timmy Cuamba13 / 3013 / 300 / 20
3Bolaji Oki21 / 6621 / 670 / 00

Bolaji Oki

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5

Timmy Cuamba

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4